TWO WEEKS ago this match looked a foregone conclusion, but after their last-start results, now has some genuine interest. Following two straight losses, including a 54-point capitulation against the Brisbane Lions, Gold Coast is out of the top eight and almost on its last chance to qualify for a maiden finals appearance. Lose this one, and the Suns are gone. At the other end of the spectrum are the Saints, who pulled off one of the biggest upsets of the season with a 58-point walloping of premiership fancies Fremantle to end an 11-game losing streak. The banged-up Suns, minus skipper Gary Ablett, have looked lethargic and lazy in the past fortnight, but back on their home deck they should resuscitate their season with a win here.





WHERE AND WHEN: Metricon Stadium, Saturday August 2, 7.40pm AEST

TV AND RADIO: Click here for the broadcast guide

LAST FIVE TIMES
R9, 2014, Gold Coast 19.11 (125) d St Kilda 13.9 (87) at Etihad Stadium
R22, 2013, St Kilda 17.14 (116) d Gold Coast 10.10 (70) at Etihad Stadium
R1, 2013, Gold Coast 13.12 (90) d St Kilda 10.17 (77) at Metricon Stadium
R11, 2012, St Kilda 21.18 (144) d Gold Coast 7.7 (49) at Metricon Stadium
R2, 2012, St Kilda 21.13 (139) d Gold Coast 7.5 (47) at Etihad Stadium

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THE SIX POINTS
1. The Suns were comfortable winners in round nine, with their midfield running riot. Ablett was the star with 37 disposals and four goals, while Jaeger O’Meara (29), Dion Prestia (28) and David Swallow (28) were also prolific.

2. Gold Coast is one of the best contested possession teams in the League, ranked second with 146.7 a game, while St Kilda has struggled, ranked 17th with an average of 127.7.

3. The Saints have a good record at Metricon Stadium, with five wins and three losses, and just one loss there since 1989.

4. Gold Coast is the most inefficient team disposing of the ball in 2014, ranked 18th, operating at 70.4 per cent, while the Saints are ranked 13th at 71.4 per cent.

5. St Kilda's 118 points against Fremantle in round 18 was not only its highest score of the season, but also the first time it had topped the ton this season. Gold Coast has kicked just nine and eight goals respectively in its past two losses.

6. Midfielder Shane Savage loves playing the Suns and averages 15.2 points a game against them according to the AFL Official Player Ratings. Savage has risen 87 spots in the past five weeks to No.238 overall.

Prediction: Gold Coast by 32 points