THE RACE for places in the top eight and the all-important top four are about to hot up, with each club having just ten more home and away matches to play. 

AFL Media's reporters put their heads together during the week to try and come up with how the ladder might look after round 23. We started by looking at which teams realistically remain in contention to make the top eight, and we decided to draw the line at 11th-placed West Coast.

Once we had decided upon the teams still in contention, we started the discussion by ranking each team's fixture. We used a method that allocated 18 points for a match against Port Adelaide (the top side on the ladder after round 13), 17 points for a game against Hawthorn (the second-placed side), 16 points for a clash with the Sydney Swans (the third-placed side) and so on, right down to awarding two points for a clash with the Brisbane Lions (second-last on the ladder) and one point for a match against St Kilda (the team at the foot of the table). 

The rankings show that North Melbourne, Fremantle and the Sydney Swans have a host of games that they should win, while Hawthorn, Essendon and Collingwood have the toughest fixtures in the run home. 

To come up with a final ladder, the reporters also took into account six-day breaks and the number of players on each club's injury list. 

Scroll to the bottom to see AFL Media's predicted top eight at the end of the home and away season.


TOP-FOUR CONTENDERS

PORT ADELAIDE
They're only a win clear of the fourth ranked Geelong and there's just two separating the Power from sixth-placed Collingwood. Given its favourable finish though, where it plays six bottom-half teams, that buffer would have the club cautiously optimistic of locking in a double chance. The Power also only have two six-day breaks left after this weekend, meaning players should be well rested as a finals campaign nears. The race will be tight, but Port looks a likely winner.
Ranking: 95
Harry Thring

Port Adelaide and Hawthorn look likely to both finish in the top four. Picture: AFL Media


HAWTHORN
The depleted Hawks are regrouping in the nick of time as they prepare for a tough run home. The reigning premiers play five of their final 10 games against top-four contenders - Fremantle (away), nemesis Geelong, Collingwood (twice) and the rampaging Sydney Swans. Finals hopefuls North Melbourne, Gold Coast and Adelaide (away) also await but Melbourne and the Western Bulldogs should provide some respite. If they can win those five games, plus the two against their bunny Collingwood, the Hawks should secure a top-four berth.
Ranking: 114
- Travis King

SYDNEY SWANS
The Swans have a dream run home. Only two games remain against top-eight sides, although they will be anything but straightforward – Hawthorn and Port Adelaide both away, the only sides above them on the ladder. They also face cellar dwellers St Kilda and the WesternBulldogs, two clashes with Richmond and a rematch with GWS they will be desperate to win. They have three six-day breaks still remaining, but that is balanced by four eight-day breaks. Anything but a top-four finish would be a shock.
Ranking: 78
James Dampney

GEELONG
The Cats have a reasonable run home and a rapidly diminishing injury list, so a top-four berth is definitely within reach. They start with Gold Coast and Essendon on the back of consecutive six-day breaks, but the draw opens up for them after that. North Melbourne, Fremantle and Hawthorn shape as tough opponents, but rounding out their home and away campaign at home to the Brisbane Lions gives them the chance to hit the finals in top form.
Ranking: 87
- Adam McNicol

FREMANTLE
The Dockers have a fantastic draw in the run home and are right in top four calculations. Their win against Richmond last weekend was their first this season coming off a six-day break. They do not have another six-day break unless one is scheduled in round 23. The toughest task for the Dockers comes in the final four rounds - they face Geelong away, Hawthorn at home, the Brisbane Lions in Brisbane and then Port Adelaide at home in round 23.
Ranking: 78
- Alex Malcolm 

The Dockers will fancy their chances of forcing their way into the top four. Picture: AFL Media



COLLINGWOOD
A nasty period lies ahead for the Magpies, with two games against Hawthorn remaining, one against Port Adelaide and an away clash against Gold Coast shaping as tough assignments. It also has, to use a golfing analogy, tricky three-footers against Carlton, Essendon, Adelaide and West Coast at Patersons Stadium. The only wins to pencil in are the games against the Brisbane Lions and Greater Western Sydney. Six wins would be enough for a finals spot but Collingwood is long odds to finish top four.
Ranking: 102
- Peter Ryan

NORTH MELBOURNE
The Roos' top-four hopes took a massive hit with their loss against Adelaide last Saturday night, which leaves them two games behind fourth-placed Geelong and a game behind Fremantle (fifth) and Collingwood (sixth). However, at 7-5, North has the easiest remaining draw in the competition and should comfortably make the finals. Six of the Roos' 10 remaining games are against this year's bottom-six sides, three of those against the bottom-three sides. They play just two top-eight teams, Hawthorn and Geelong, while six of their games are in Melbourne (five at Etihad Stadium) and two are home games at Hobart's Blundstone Arena.
Ranking: 70
- Nick Bowen

TOP-EIGHT HOPEFULS

GOLD COAST
What looked a formality for the Suns three weeks ago now looks anything but. Gold Coast still needs to win a minimum five games, and possibly six with its average percentage, to make the finals. The Suns will start underdogs in the next three weeks against Geelong, Hawthorn and Collingwood but then have a favourable run home that should see them sneak in. Away matches to Carlton (round 20) and Essendon (round 22) loom as season-defining.
Ranking: 97
- Michael Whiting

Can this man lead the Suns to their first finals appearance? Picture: AFL Media



ESSENDON
Essendon faces a tough task to make the finals after a stuttering first half of the season. Forgetting the long-term injury to captain Jobe Watson, it doesn't have a friendly run home, facing five current top-eight teams and three of the top-four. After this week's Adelaide game they play Geelong, Port Adelaide (at Adelaide Oval) and Collingwood in successive weeks. The Bombers haven't taken their chances against bottom-placed sides, and this will hurt them. 
Ranking: 107
- Callum Twomey

ADELAIDE
The Crows could find themselves in the top eight for the first time this year by the end of round 13, meaning they'd then have to outperform Gold Coast and Essendon to secure a finals berth. They play four lower-ranked teams on the run home, as well as the recently conquered North Melbourne. Five six-day breaks before the end of the minor rounds will make the going tougher, but returns from injury by Tom Lynch, Ricky Henderson and Brad Crouch will bolster the squad. Bar any surprises, the Crows should sneak in.
Ranking: 97
Harry Thring

WEST COAST
The Eagles face a huge task to make the eight despite their draw being relatively kind. Already two games outside the eight, consecutive matches coming up against the Dockers and Swans could set them back further. West Coast also travels to Brisbane off a six-day break, and also Essendon in Melbourne off another six-day break in round 21. Even if the Eagles negotiate all of that successfully, they still make the longest road trip in the AFL in round 23 to face the Suns at Metricon Stadium in a game that could potentially determine eighth spot.
Ranking: 85
- Alex Malcolm

TELL ‘EM THEY’RE DREAMING: Carlton, the Western Bulldogs and Melbourne
The wins to the Western Bulldogs and Melbourne, against top-eight contending teams (Collingwood and Essendon) last weekend, offered faint hope for their September chances. But the reality is they are little chance of sewing up a finals spot. Carlton's run of three successive losses, against the Brisbane Lions, Geelong and Hawthorn, may also have extinguished its faint finals hope. All three teams sit three games outside the top eight, locked on four wins and eight losses, meaning they would need minor miracles to be part of the finals mix. With patchy form for much of this season, it's clear they would need to show marked improvement to be considered legitimate finals challengers this season. - Ben Guthrie


PREDICTED TOP EIGHT
1. Sydney Swans
2. Fremantle
3. Port Adelaide
4. Hawthorn
5. Geelong
6. North Melbourne
7. Collingwood
8. Gold Coast