WITH most eyes on the top half of the ladder, working out permutations for that eighth spot and who will earn a home final, another host of fans will be focused on the percentage race to the bottom.
Why? Because the No.1 pick is on the line. The last pure No.1 pick before Tasmania joins the AFLW and plays havoc with the draft.
Exciting young forward Bailee Martin is widely rated as the best talent in the draft pool, and that pick is a one-way ticket to recruiting her, and as it stands, three clubs remain in the race.
St Kilda currently sits on bottom of the ladder. With just one win, and a paltry percentage of 43.5, it is in the box seat. A clash with Port Adelaide awaits – a side desperate to win in a big way should it remain any chance of making finals, should other results fall its way – so that percentage may fall further come Saturday afternoon.
Then things get very interesting. Essendon and Collingwood – the remaining one-win teams – face off at Windy Hill on Sunday. The victor earns some pride and positivity to end the season. The loser, a chance at securing the much-coveted pick.
Collingwood currently sits nine per cent ahead of the Saints, and Essendon 13.1 per cent, so would need to lose by a significant margin to be any chance of sliding into 18th. Given the way the Pies are tracking, however, means it's not out of the question completely.
Other results across the weekend will also influence the draft in significant ways.
After future pick trading was introduced last year, this will be the first season where clubs have a vested interest in where others fall.
AFLW DRAFT Get to know the next wave of talent
Adelaide will be keen to see Gold Coast crash out of finals, as it holds the Suns' first-round pick following Anne Hatchard's move north. Melbourne will also have a close eye on the Suns' results, currently holding their second-rounder.
Brisbane is sitting pretty, holding the second-round pick tied to Collingwood (17th) and an end-of-first rounder via Greater Western Sydney that the Giants initially received as part of an AFL assistance package, but will be quietly pleased should Fremantle (second-rounder) and Adelaide (second-rounder) miss finals. It is a strong hand for the Lions, who are keen to get their four top Academy players – Molly Ferguson, Aiyana Pritchard, Harlee McIlwain, and Mia Geere – into the club before bid-matching rules change.
Another side keen to see the Crows miss finals will be the Giants, given they hold Adelaide's first-rounder.
Hawthorn may have extra incentive come finals to knock off Sydney should they meet, holding the Swans' first-rounder, while their two second-rounders – tied to GWS and Brisbane – look stronger now with both out of the finals race.
And if North Melbourne already didn't need a stronger hand, it currently holds Carlton's first-rounder, and with the Blues potentially missing the top four, that pick is marginally stronger than it was initially expected to be.
AFLW Draft Order as it stands
ROUND ONE
1. St Kilda
2. Collingwood
3. Essendon
4. Greater Western Sydney
5. Richmond
6. West Coast
7. Brisbane
8. Port Adelaide
9. Fremantle
10. Greater Western Sydney (tied to Adelaide)
11. Hawthorn
12. Hawthorn (tied to Sydney)
13. Western Bulldogs
14. North Melbourne (tied to Carlton)
15. Adelaide (tied to Gold Coast)
16. Melbourne
17. Geelong
18. North Melbourne
19. Brisbane (received from Greater Western Sydney, Giants received as AFL assistance)
ROUND TWO
20. St Kilda
21. Brisbane (tied to Collingwood)
22. St Kilda (tied to Essendon)
23. Hawthorn (tied to Greater Western Sydney)
24. Richmond
25. West Coast
26. Hawthorn (tied to Brisbane)
27. Port Adelaide
28. Brisbane (tied to Fremantle)
29. Brisbane (tied to Adelaide)
30. Hawthorn
31. Sydney
32. Western Bulldogs
33. Carlton
34. Melbourne (tied to Gold Coast)
35. Melbourne
36. St Kilda (tied to Geelong)
37. Gold Coast (tied to North Melbourne)