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2022 NAB AFLW Season 7
Brisbane Lions v Melbourne
Grand Final •
15 2.3
Full Time
19 2.7
Demons Won By 4

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    MEGA PREVIEW: Where the Grand Final will be won and lost

    Gemma Bastiani runs a forensic eye over the Grand Final, the key battles to watch, and predicts who will come out on top

    IT ALL comes down to this. The top two teams across the home-and-away season have won their way to the ultimate decider, with one of Brisbane or Melbourne to hold the premiership cup aloft on Sunday afternoon.

    Head-to-head history

    In a strange loop, Brisbane and Melbourne will meet in Sunday's Grand Final having launched their first ever AFLW campaigns against each other back in round one of 2017.

    The Lions won that day in a wet, windy affair at Casey Fields, and since then the two clubs have enjoyed an evolving rivalry.

    After that inaugural game, they have played a further six times, with the Demons claiming victory in five of them. The Lions broke that five-game losing streak earlier this season with a 15-point win in round four.

    07:59

    The biggest margin between the two has been 39 points, although a further four games have been decided by a goal or less.

    Tayla Harris is the only player currently listed to feature for both Brisbane and Melbourne, while young gun Alyssa Bannan has kicked six goals against the Lions - the equal-most of any player in the competition.

    Last time they met

    In round four at Casey Fields, the Lions started slowly but got over the line by 15 points thanks to three last-quarter goals. This match was the last time this season the Demons conceded a goal in the final quarter; since then, they have allowed a total of six points in eight fourth quarters.

    Jesse Wardlaw and Kate Hore each kicked two goals for their respective teams that day, while Lauren Pearce had seven clearances for the Demons.

    02:38

    Brisbane held the Demons to just 75 handballs, impressively breaking down their ball movement after a blistering first quarter to steadily work back into the game and ultimately overrun them.

    But it's important to remember that Melbourne was without key tall Tayla Harris that day due to suspension. In her 11 games this season, Harris has kicked 10 goals while also averaging 9.6 hitouts, 2.3 inside 50s and 1.6 marks inside 50. Back in the line-up this week, she has the potential to stretch Brisbane's impressive backline.

    The key match-up

    These are two sides who rely more on structural set-ups over one-on-one roles, but the battle on the wing will be crucial to the result.

    Brisbane running machine Sophie Conway looms as a dangerous player for Melbourne as she's able to get the ball on the outside and gain plenty of ground with her disposal, with Lily Mithen looking likely to spend time running with her.

    Both players are intelligent and highly disciplined, able to compete at the contest but also very aware of when to maintain space outside.

    24:21

    Conway's ability to gain ground - she's averaging 374.5 metres throughout the finals series - will be important, while Mithen's elite ball use - she's going at 73 per cent with 18.5 average disposals throughout finals - will also be pivotal.

    The Conway-Mithen match-up must also be considered in the broader context of how each side uses its wings. Conway works with Orla O'Dwyer and Jade Ellenger in that outside role, while Mithen has been rotating effectively with Casey Sherriff and Sarah Lampard. All are now experienced campaigners with finals under their belts, so the occasion is unlikely to distract them from their regular, damaging impact.

    The state of play

    This Grand Final is a meeting of the No.1 attack and No.2 defence this season (Brisbane) against the No.1 defence and No.2 attack (Melbourne), setting up one of the most intriguing head-to-head battles in AFLW history.

    Brisbane has some bigger bodies through the middle, but the Demons have competed well against taller midfield groups all season, so this will not worry them.

    SURVIVAL PLAN How the Lions and Dees flourished amid expansion

    However, the pressure around the ball to break down Melbourne's handball chains will undoubtedly be a key strategy for Brisbane, and the Lions have the personnel to do it. Cathy Svarc is the obvious pressure player coach Craig Starcevich has at his disposal, but Emily Bates, Belle Dawes, Courtney Hodder and Ally Anderson are all equally willing to tackle and defend.

    Melbourne is a contested possession side and wants to keep the ball in tight until it moves into space on its own terms. Keeping the Lions starved for space when they have possession will be vital to shutting down such a dominant attacking side. By doing this, the Demons force the contested ball onto their opposition and have the mindset that if they are to give up possession, it will be under the most arduous circumstances possible.

    08:29

    Once on the outside, both teams have genuine speed and Melbourne will no doubt be looking to get the ball over the back of Brisbane's wall of defenders to get the likes of Alyssa Bannan and Casey Sherriff on the run toward the goalline. As tough as the Lions' defence is, they don't boast the speed of Bannan and Sherriff.

    What Melbourne cannot do is get trapped in defence like it did last week against North Melbourne. The longer the ball lives in Brisbane's forward 50, the more dangerous the Lions get, and they have taken a shot on goal from 49.2 per cent of their inside 50 entries.

    Brisbane have tended to jump clear in second quarters this season, while Melbourne finds itself most damaging in first and fourth terms. Each coach will be aware of these gear changes and work to negate such shifts in momentum, while on-field leaders - of which both sides boast plenty - will look to maintain organisation around the ground.

    Tip

    The Lions' strengths are just the ticket to limiting Melbourne's game. Brisbane by 15 points.

    Dee-licious: Daisy gets her flag as Demons stun Lions

    Melbourne has broken through for its first premiership

    MELBOURNE has broken through for its maiden AFLW premiership, shaking off a slow start and underdog status to beat Brisbane by four points at Brighton Homes Arena.

    LIONS v DEMONS Full match coverage and stats

    The teams were separated by just 0.3 per cent on the ladder at the end of the home-and-away season, and the game played out like it too, a see-sawing, high-pressure affair with a nail-biting fourth quarter, seeing the Dees come to the good in the 2.7 (19) to 2.3 (15) result.

    02:56

    It's sweet relief for beloved Dees skipper Daisy Pearce, winning her first AFLW premiership in what could be her final season, while its also just reward for inaugural Dees coach Mick Stinear, who has held the team together beautifully in the face of expansion sides.

    The Lions had started full of spark, Dakota Davidson converting a set shot and celebrating in typically exuberant fashion, followed by a Cathy Svarc goal.

    SECOND TIME LUCKY FOR DEES 'This season, we actually got it right'

    The second quarter has been Brisbane's domain this season, having only lost two thus far, but it didn't faze Melbourne in the slightest.

    00:38

    The Dees came out with renewed intent, especially around the stoppages where its quick-passing game began to kick into gear.

    BEST ON GROUND Campbell earns best-on honours in GF

    Just inaccuracy – and some elite Shannon Campbell defending on the last line of defence, who was named best on ground – kept the Lions ahead by two points at the main break.

    01:22

    Of course, it had to be Tayla Harris to take the lead for the first time, marking a curling snap from Kate Hore at the start of the third.

    01:00

    Davidson had a set shot on the three-quarter-time siren, but her kick drifted right.

    HAVE YOUR SAY Take our AFLW fan engagement survey NOW

    The spearhead laid two bone-crunching tackles in the fourth term, but was only paid a holding the ball free kick in one, and while they prevented Melbourne from scoring, they were too far afield to have an impact in attack.

    04:59

    There was an intriguing battle between AFLW leading goalkicker Jesse Wardlaw and the equal-tallest player in the competition in Tahlia Gillard, with the young Dee well and truly coming up trumps.

    IT'S GOING TO BURN Lions lament heartbreaking loss

    The Demons' full-team defence was simply superb after the first quarter, keeping the side in the game and suffocating Brisbane's run-and-carry game.

    Sophie Conway and Karen Paxman compete for the ball in the AFLW S7 Grand Final between Brisbane and Melbourne at Brighton Homes Arena. Picture: Getty Images

    Karen Paxman was caught at the bottom of a pack featuring a soaring Tayla Harris in the fourth quarter, and left the field in groggy fashion.

    'SHE'S THE OPPOSITE' Daisy bites back at Tayla doubters

    00:48

    Desperation in defence
    Brisbane had dominated the opening portion of the game, but Melbourne looked like it was finally going to break through on a rare fast break. Some quick hands out of a contest ending in Megan Fitzsimon streaming towards goal, but All-Australian Brisbane defender Nat Grider was having none of it, launching herself forward for a goal-saving tackle.

    00:42

    Wounded skipper
    Brisbane skipper Breanna Koenen left the ground in the tail end of the second quarter, limping badly with a right knee issue. Named All-Australian vice-captain this season, Koenen has been a mainstay of Brisbane's backline for years, and her absence unsettled the Lions. She returned for the second half, but was clearly hindered with a heavily strapped knee.

    00:32

    BRISBANE          2.0     2.0     2.3     2.3    (15)
    MELBOURNE     0.1     1.4     2.5     2.7     (19)

    GOALS
    Brisbane: Davidson, C. Svarc
    Melbourne: Mackin, Harris

    BEST
    Brisbane:
    Campbell, Grider, C. Svarc, Anderson, Bates
    Melbourne: Hanks, West, Gay, Purcell, Gillard

    INJURIES
    Brisbane:
    Koenen (right knee)
    Melbourne: Nil

    Reports: Nil

    Crowd: 7,412 at Brighton Homes Arena

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