THOUSANDS of Fantasy Drafts were completed before the season started and, while we didn't exactly know what we were in for this year, we can make a call on which picks were winners and which weren't.

ADP stands for average draft pick, that is the average draft position the players were taken in during all of the drafts completed in 2020. 

Generally, the players taken in the first couple of rounds have performed as expected. 

Brodie Grundy was the consensus No.1 selection and that has been justified as he is the fourth highest scorer this year. Interestingly, however, Max Gawn (ADP No.5) and Todd Goldstein (ADP No.50) have scored more than the 'Ruck Pig' so far this season. 

Looking across the top-scoring midfielders, aside from Lachie Neale (ADP No.12), value was to be found in Taylor Adams (ADP No.64, average 91), Jarryd Lyons (ADP No.59, average 90) and Jack Steele (ADP No.71, average 89).

Sam Docherty's ADP of No.11 was a little surprising considering he was coming back from two ACL injuries, but he has well and truly justified the high selection with his 89 average. Nick Haynes ranks as the second of all defenders and with an ADP of No.113, he could be the value picks of the year if he continues his 84 average.

03:09 Mins
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Roy's Fantasy trades: round seven

Roy has a look at some players who are ripe for the picking

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Challenging Haynes for the biggest draft bargain is Jy Simpkin. Averaging 84, the Roo has an ADP of No.219 yet he ranks as the second best forward, behind Christian Petracca (ADP No.90, average 89). 

TOP 20 FANTASY DRAFT PICKS

ADP

Player

Position

Average

1

Brodie Grundy

RUC

96

2

Jack Macrae

MID

83

3

Tom Mitchell

MID

79

4

Lachie Whitfield

MID/FWD

74

5

Max Gawn

RUC

105

6

Josh Dunkley

MID

79

7

Josh Kelly

MID

81

8

Jake Lloyd

DEF

83

9

Adam Treloar

MID

98

10

Andrew Gaff

MID

88

11

Sam Docherty

DEF

89

12

Lachie Neale

MID

111

13

Patrick Dangerfield

MID

78

14

Stephen Coniglio

MID

73

15

Brad Crouch

MID

79

16

Clayton Oliver

MID

83

17

Dustin Martin

MID/FWD

64

18

Tim Taranto

MID

-

19

Jarrod Witts

RUC

66

20

Patrick Cripps

MID

79

  
TOP FIVE PRICE RISES

  • Latham Vandermeer, Western Bulldogs (MID/FWD, $367,000): +$70,000
  • Sam Simpson, Geelong Cats (MID, $232,000): +$62,000
  • Callum Mills, Sydney Swans (DEF, $632,000): +$53,000
  • Hugh Greenwood, Gold Coast Suns (MID/FWD, $657,000): +$51,000
  • Tom Hawkins, Geelong Cats (FWD, $607,000): +$49,000

TOP FIVE PRICE FALLS

  • Dayne Zorko, Brisbane Lions (MID, $637,000): -$50,000
  • Mitch Robinson, Brisbane Lions (MID, $615,000): -$49,000
  • Dustin Martin, Richmond (MID/FWD, $642,000): -$48,000
  • Shannon Hurn, West Coast Eagles (DEF, $566,000): -$47,000
  • Mitch Duncan, Geelong Cats (MID, $744,000): -$46,000

LOWEST BREAKEVENS

  • Sam Simpson, Geelong Cats (MID, $232,000): -36
  • Sam Naismith, Sydney Swans (RUC, $368,000): -20
  • Louis Butler, Western Bulldogs (DEF/MID, $229,000): -12
  • Izak Rankine, Gold Coast Suns (FWD, $204,000): -12
  • Jarrod Brander, West Coast Eagles (DEF/FWD, $354,000): -9

HIGHEST BREAKEVENS

  • Nic Newman, Carlton (DEF, $620,000): 141
  • Luke Shuey, West Coast Eagles (MID, $671,000): 138
  • Cam Ellis-Yolmen, Brisbane Lions (MID, $592,000): 136
  • Andrew Gaff, West Coast Eagles (MID, $816,000): 128
  • Rory Atkins, Adelaide Crows (MID, $523,000): 123

Breakeven data can be accessed with the Fantasy Coach subscription.

BUY

Sam Simpson, Geelong Cats (MID, $232,000) - The Cats mature age recruit made his return to the top level and didn’t miss a beat… In fact he dominated. The hard working mid grabbed his opportunity with both hands collecting 27 possessions, six marks and five tackles for 102.

Callum Mills, Sydney Swans (DEF, $632,000) - With premium defenders hard to come by at the moment, Mills has put his hand up. He took his recent good form to the next level on the weekend with a round high 125 from 29 touches and nine marks. He is a nice unique option.

Lachie Whitfield, GWS Giants (FWD/MID, $694,000) - Last week’s number one trade target certainly didn’t disappoint in a tough match up with the Power. He overcame a slow start to dominate the second half, eventually finishing with 108 from 25 touches and eight marks. 

Also consider: Dom Sheed, Hugh Greenwood, Brodie Smith.

HOLD  

Andrew Gaff, West Coast Eagles (MID, $816,000) - After an outstanding start to the year, the hard running wing has been kept quiet the last fortnight with scores of 66 and 52. A return home should see a significant change in fortune where he averages 115 (BCV).  

Brodie Grundy, Collingwood (RUC, $857,000) - One quiet game in two years and some owners are calling for the Pig’s head. Take a deep breath and reverse the trade. Remember when he scored you 117 and 113 prior to last week. He will bounce back this week like a champion.

Chad Wingard, Hawthorn (FWD/MID, $661,000) - As Chad tends to do, he is having a little slump after starting the year on fire. Although his past two scores of 62 and 42 are disappointing, he is a gun and will be back to his best in no time so stay strong. 

Also consider: Lachie Weller, Patrick Cripps, Luke Parker.

SELL

Jack Crisp, Collingwood (DEF, $639,000) - After a sensational season last year, many coaches jumped on the Pies hard running defender but it hasn't gone to plan. He has a top score of just 82 for the year and knocked up his third score in the 50’s on the weekend. Upgrade. 

Shannon Hurn, West Coast Eagles (DEF, $566,000) - The temptation to give him one last chance back at home is definitely a play for the patient coaches out there but scores of 53, 53, 61, 54 and 34 in his most recent game is enough to break even the most stubborn of us. 

Dan Butler, St Kilda (FWD, $556,000) - The Saints recruit has put on a great show for his coaches to start the season but his scores have dried up the last two games with 59 and 27t. It might be a good idea to sell high after gaining $172k since the start of the year.

Also consider: Josh Kennedy, Dylan Shiel, Mark Pittonet.  

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