HAWTHORN has won its past 10 games against Carlton, a club record, and that streak appears set to continue on Friday night. In the past the Blues have struggled to contain key forward Jarryd Roughead, who starred against the Eagles last Saturday with eight goals. Luke Hodge and Jordan Lewis also stood up for the injury-depleted Hawks, who remain vulnerable in defence. Carlton was unlucky to lose to Geelong last Friday night and will be boosted by the return of Chris Judd for only his second game this season. Bryce Gibbs is coming off possibly his best game for the Blues and he will need to reproduce that form to give his team a chance against the premiers.
WHERE AND WHEN: MCG, Friday, June 13, 7.50pm AEST
TV AND RADIO: Click here for the broadcast guide
THE LAST FIVE TIMES
Round 12, 2013, Hawthorn 15.12 (102) d Carlton 13.9 (87) at Etihad Stadium
Round 14, 2012, Hawthorn 18.12 (120) d Carlton 10.10 (70) at the MCG
Round 22, 2011, Hawthorn 10.18 (78) d Carlton 8.18 (66) at Etihad Stadium
Round 9, 2010, Hawthorn 16.14 (110) d Carlton 8.12 (60) at Etihad Stadium
Round 6, 2009, Hawthorn 16.10 (106) d Carlton 15.12 (102) at the MCG
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THE SIX POINTS
1. Hawthorn is the most accurate goalkicking team this season, operating at 59 per cent. Carlton is ranked 15th at 46 per cent.
2. This will be the 161st contest between the clubs and Carlton holds a clear advantage, winning 102 games to Hawthorn’s 58.
3. The Hawks are the equal second-best team this year for taking the ball inside 50, averaging 56.4 a game. The Blues are 11th at 49.3.
4. These clubs have played 13 times at the MCG and Hawthorn has dominated, winning 10 games including the past seven. The Blues’ last MCG victory over the Hawks was in 2000.
5. Carlton has received more free kicks than any club this season with 197. Hawthorn is equal 10th with 178.
6. Bryce Gibbs' 29 disposals, six tackles and four goals against Geelong equated to 23 player ratings points, which was the seventh-best score of round 12. Gibbs' effort moved him from 69 to 61 on the Official AFL Player Ratings.
PREDICTION: Hawthorn by 13 points.