1. Geelong
48 points (12 wins, three losses), 146.35 per cent

The run home:
Rd 16: Adelaide at AAMI Stadium
Rd 17: Brisbane Lions at Skilled Stadium
Rd 18: Sydney Swans at ANZ Stadium
Rd 19: Collingwood at the MCG
Rd 20: Western Bulldogs at Etihad Stadium
Rd 21: Carlton at Etihad Stadium
Rd 22: West Coast at Skilled Stadium

The Cats will use the remaining month or so to warm up for their tilt at a third flag in four years. Win round 19's clash against Collingwood and they will be all but assured of a fourth consecutive top-two finish.

2. St Kilda
48 points (12 wins, three losses) 128.12 per cent

The run home:
Rd 16: Collingwood at the MCG
Rd 17: Hawthorn at Etihad Stadium
Rd 18: Essendon at Etihad Stadium
Rd 19: Port Adelaide at Etihad Stadium
Rd 20: North Melbourne at Etihad Stadium
Rd 21: Richmond at Etihad Stadium
Rd 22: Adelaide at AAMI Stadium

Next week's game will temporarily decide second spot (or top spot, if the Cats lose in Adelaide). Hawthorn in round 17 should also be a belter, but from then it is plain sailing for the Saints. Five games against probable non-finalists could allow them to rest some of their big guns ahead of the finals.

3. Collingwood
46 points (11 wins, three losses, one draw) 132.59 per cent

The run home:
Rd 16: St Kilda at the MCG
Rd 17: Richmond at the MCG
Rd 18: Carlton at the MCG
Rd 19: Geelong at the MCG
Rd 20: Essendon at the MCG
Rd 21: Adelaide at the MCG
Rd 22: Hawthorn at the MCG

With seven straight games at the MCG, the Pies' run home could hardly be kinder. Four of those games are against likely finalists, allowing Collingwood further opportunity to test its mettle ahead of what ought to be a top-four finish.

4. Fremantle
40 points (10 wins, five losses) 119.05 per cent

The run home:
Rd 16: Melbourne at Subiaco Oval
Rd 17: Western Bulldogs at Etihad Stadium
Rd 18: West Coast at Subiaco Oval
Rd 19: North Melbourne at Etihad Stadium
Rd 20: Sydney Swans at Subiaco Oval
Rd 21: Hawthorn at Aurora Stadium
Rd 22: Carlton at Subiaco Oval

Having lost Michael Barlow and then suffered a shock defeat to Richmond, the wheels on the Fremantle bandwagon are looking wobbly. Freo are still a game clear of fifth spot, but will now be looking over their shoulders at Carlton, Hawthorn and the Bulldogs - all of which they face in the last six weeks.

5. Western Bulldogs
36 points (nine wins, six losses) 131.69 per cent

The run home:
Rd 16: Port Adelaide at TIO Stadium
Rd 17: Fremantle at Etihad Stadium
Rd 18: North Melbourne at Etihad Stadium
Rd 19: Adelaide at AAMI Stadium
Rd 20: Geelong at Etihad Stadium
Rd 21: Sydney Swans at the SCG
Rd 22: Essendon at Etihad Stadium

The Bulldogs disappointed after being touted as premiership favourites before the season. But Sunday's win against Carlton keeps them in the hunt for the top four, especially with Fremantle beginning to look ropey. Round 17's match-up will be critical.

6. Sydney Swans
32 points (eight wins, seven losses), 108.70 per cent

The run home:
Rd 16: Carlton at Etihad Stadium
Rd 17: Melbourne at the MCG
Rd 18: Geelong at ANZ Stadium
Rd 19: Hawthorn at the SCG
Rd 20: Fremantle at Subiaco Oval
Rd 21: Western Bulldogs at the SCG
Rd 22: Brisbane Lions at the Gabba

There are no easy games to come for the Swans, despite the fact that four of their remaining opponents are below them on the ladder. The Lions and Freo represent difficult away trips, while top-eight rivals Geelong, the Bulldogs and Hawthorn all visit Sydney. Finals football still looks possible in coach Paul Roos' valedictory year, but his side will have to earn it.

7. Carlton
32 points (eight wins, seven losses), 107.80 per cent

The run home:
Rd 16: Sydney Swans at Etihad Stadium
Rd 17: West Coast at Subiaco Oval
Rd 18: Collingwood at the MCG
Rd 19: Essendon at the MCG
Rd 20: Richmond at the MCG
Rd 21: Geelong at Etihad Stadium
Rd 22: Fremantle at Subiaco Oval

A month's worth of blockbuster games should have the Blues nicely warmed up for the finals. Clashes against the Swans and West Coast will be pencilled in as wins, before four games sure to attract massive crowds. The trip across the Nullarbor in round 22 may decide the Blues' elimination final opponent.

8. Hawthorn
32 points (eight wins, seven losses) 102.65 per cent

The run home:
Rd 16: Brisbane Lions at Aurora Stadium
Rd 17: St Kilda at Etihad Stadium
Rd 18: Port Adelaide at AAMI Stadium
Rd 19: Sydney Swans at the SCG
Rd 20: Melbourne at the MCG
Rd 21: Fremantle at Aurora Stadium
Rd 22: Collingwood at the MCG

On current form Hawthorn should make the finals. St Kilda and Collingwood represent serious hurdles, but Saturday's performance against Geelong suggests the Hawks will give both teams a shake. Fremantle and the Swans are no easy-beats but on the whole the Hawks' run home is trouble-free.

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9. North Melbourne
28 points (seven wins, eight losses) 81.31 per cent

The run home:
Rd 16: Richmond at the MCG
Rd 17: Essendon at Etihad Stadium
Rd 18: Western Bulldogs at Etihad Stadium
Rd 19: Fremantle at Etihad Stadium
Rd 20: St Kilda at Etihad Stadium
Rd 21: West Coast at Subiaco
Rd 22: Melbourne at the MCG

Brad Scott's side will start favourite in its next two and its final two games. Get the job done in those four and the Roos will have 11 wins. The remaining fixtures are against St Kilda, Fremantle and the Western Bulldogs - all on home turf at Etihad Stadium. If the Roos can pinch one of those, they could be playing in September. No team has missed the finals with 12 wins since Hawthorn in 2003.

10. Adelaide
24 points (six wins, nine losses) 92.48 per cent

The run home:
Rd 16: Geelong at AAMI Stadium
Rd 17: Port Adelaide at AAMI Stadium
Rd 18: Richmond at the MCG
Rd 19: Western Bulldogs at AAMI Stadium
Rd 20: Brisbane Lions at the Gabba
Rd 21: Collingwood at the MCG
Rd 22: St Kilda at AAMI Stadium

The Crows have recovered well after a wretched start to the season, but two games out of the eight means they can't afford any further slip-ups. The matches against Port, Richmond and the Lions are all must-wins. To make the finals they will also have to beat at least one and probably two top-four contenders. 

11. Melbourne
22 points (five wins, nine losses, one draw), 88.98 per cent

The run home:
Rd 16: Fremantle at Subiaco Oval
Rd 17: Sydney Swans at the MCG
Rd 18: Brisbane Lions at the Gabba
Rd 19: Richmond at the MCG
Rd 20: Hawthorn at the MCG
Rd 21: Port Adelaide at AAMI Stadium
Rd 22: North Melbourne at the MCG

Dean Bailey's side has enjoyed a renaissance in 2010, but the Demons' dismal percentage doesn't help their chances of an unlikely finals tilt. The fixture is kind, however. Fremantle is the highest-placed side of their remaining seven opponents.

12. Brisbane Lions
20 points (five wins, 10 losses) 85.16 per cent

The run home:
Rd 16: Hawthorn at Aurora Stadium
Rd 17: Geelong at Skilled Stadium
Rd 18: Melbourne at the Gabba
Rd 19: West Coast at Subiaco Oval
Rd 20: Adelaide at the Gabba
Rd 21: Essendon at Etihad Stadium
Rd 22: Sydney Swans at the Gabba

A robust performance against St Kilda on Saturday night suggests the Lions could stage a strong finish to the season. The next two games are likely defeats, but Jonathan Brown's return will boost their chances thereafter. All five final games are potential wins.

13. Essendon
20 points (five wins, 10 losses) 84.26 per cent

The run home:
Rd 16: West Coast at Etihad Stadium
Rd 17: North Melbourne at Etihad Stadium
Rd 18: St Kilda at Etihad Stadium
Rd 19: Carlton at the MCG
Rd 20: Collingwood at the MCG
Rd 21: Brisbane Lions at Etihad Stadium
Rd 22: Western Bulldogs at Etihad Stadium

Competitive early in the season, the Dons have hit rock bottom with back-to-back hammerings by Melbourne and Adelaide. On current form, they will be unlikely to grab more than a couple more wins and could finish bottom three.

14. Port Adelaide
20 points (five wins, 10 losses), 79.00 per cent

The run home:
Rd 16: Western Bulldogs at TIO Stadium
Rd 17: Adelaide at AAMI Stadium
Rd 18: Hawthorn at AAMI Stadium
Rd 19: St Kilda at Etihad Stadium
Rd 20: West Coast at AAMI Stadium
Rd 21: Melbourne at AAMI Stadium
Rd 22: Richmond at Etihad Stadium

Port is in poor form, notwithstanding an inspired quarter or two against Collingwood on Friday night. For Matthew Primus, Mark Williams' replacement in the coaching booth, there's little to look forward to until round 20. From then the Power close out the season with three winnable games.

15. Richmond
20 points (five wins, 10 losses), 75.72 per cent

The run home:
Rd 16: North Melbourne at the MCG
Rd 17: Collingwood at the MCG
Rd 18: Adelaide at the MCG
Rd 19: Melbourne at the MCG
Rd 20: Carlton at the MCG
Rd 21: St Kilda at Etihad Stadium
Rd 22: Port Adelaide at Etihad Stadium

Five wins in six games have many Tiger fans feeling that the club may have turned the corner. A friendly run home sees the club stay in Melbourne for its final seven games. Collingwood and St Kilda are the most daunting of the remaining opponents, and a surge up the ladder is a real possibility.

16. West Coast
12 points (three wins, 12 losses), 75.16 per cent

The run home:
Rd 16: Essendon at Etihad Stadium
Rd 17: Carlton at Subiaco Oval
Rd 18: Fremantle at Subiaco Oval
Rd 19: Brisbane Lions at Subiaco Oval
Rd 20: Port Adelaide at AAMI Stadium
Rd 21: North Melbourne at Subiaco Oval
Rd 22: Geelong at Skilled Stadium

The Eagles have a number of winnable games, with the only likely blow-out against the Cats in the final round. A few late wins would give John Worsfold's youngsters some confidence heading into next season, but no one is seriously talking about finals.

Eureka Game 2.10pm Sunday @ the MCG. A tribute to the Eureka spirit…courage, teamwork and mateship. Brought to you by Ballarat, the home of Eureka.